Where and when is Bucaspor 1928 vs Karsiyaka played?

Bucaspor 1928 vs Karsiyaka is played on November 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Buca Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bucaspor 1928 vs Karsiyaka: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Buca Stadı, İzmir

Bucaspor 1928

Karsiyaka

The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Bucaspor 1928. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bucaspor 1928 vs Karsiyaka?

Karsiyaka starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,715 vs 1,540).

Bucaspor 1928 win27 %

Draw27 %

Karsiyaka win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bucaspor 1928 have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Karsiyaka have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bucaspor 1928
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 24, 2026	Karacabey Belediyespor(away)	1-0	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Batman Petrolspor(home)	3-3	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Altınordu(away)	0-2	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 3, 2026	Ankaragücü(away)	0-1	2. Lig

Karsiyaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 28, 2026	Ayvalikgucu(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Ayvalikgucu(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026	Tire 2021 FK(away)	1-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Söke 1970(home)	5-0	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Bornova 1877(away)	5-0	3. Lig - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Bucaspor 1928 score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Karsiyaka score 2.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bucaspor 1928	0.9	2.1	1	9/15	7/15
Karsiyaka	2.7	0.7	7	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bucaspor 1928 vs Karsiyaka?: The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Bucaspor 1928.
Where and when is Bucaspor 1928 vs Karsiyaka played?: Bucaspor 1928 vs Karsiyaka is played on November 15, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Buca Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.