FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Altglienicke: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 17Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Steigerwaldstadion, Erfurt
The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Altglienicke. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Altglienicke?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt (2,021) and Altglienicke (1,955).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Altglienicke have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 6-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 3-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Altglienicke win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 1-1 Altglienicke | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Altglienicke 1-3 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 11, 2025 | Altglienicke 0-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 23, 2024 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 1-1 Altglienicke | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2-2 Altglienicke | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 31, 2023 | Altglienicke 1-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Altglienicke on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Altglienicke score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Altglienicke | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and Altglienicke sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Altglienicke | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Altglienicke?
- The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Altglienicke.
- Where and when is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Altglienicke played?
- FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Altglienicke is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Steigerwaldstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026Erzgebirge AuevsSV Babelsberg 03
- Nov 22, 2026BFC PreussenvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Nov 22, 2026BFC DynamovsHallescher FC
- Nov 22, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsRSV Eintracht
- Nov 22, 2026LuckenwaldevsChemnitzer FC
- Nov 22, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsHertha BSC II
- Nov 22, 2026Greifswalder FCvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Nov 22, 2026Magdeburg IIvsFSV Zwickau