Alumni Los Hornos vs Uribelarrea: prediction and stats
Torneo Promocional AmateurRegular Season - 18Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Uribelarrea the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Alumni Los Hornos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alumni Los Hornos vs Uribelarrea?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Alumni Los Hornos (1,674) and Uribelarrea (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alumni Los Hornos have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Uribelarrea have 6, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Las Mandarinas(away) | 2-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Everton La Plata(home) | 0-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ezeiza(away) | 6-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Barrancas UMET(home) | 0-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Buenos Aires City(away) | 1-4 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Everton La Plata(away) | 3-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ezeiza(home) | 2-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Barrancas UMET(away) | 0-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Buenos Aires City(home) | 1-3 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Control Orientado(away) | 2-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Alumni Los Hornos win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Uribelarrea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Uribelarrea 0-1 Alumni Los Hornos | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
Last archived meeting: Uribelarrea vs Alumni Los Hornos on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alumni Los Hornos score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Uribelarrea score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alumni Los Hornos | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Uribelarrea | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/14 | 6/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alumni Los Hornos sit 10th in Torneo Promocional Amateur (18 points from 15 matches) and Uribelarrea sit 5th (23 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alumni Los Hornos | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Uribelarrea | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Uribelarrea | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
| 10 | Alumni Los Hornos | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alumni Los Hornos vs Uribelarrea?
- The Footlab model makes Uribelarrea the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Alumni Los Hornos.
- Where and when is Alumni Los Hornos vs Uribelarrea played?
- Alumni Los Hornos vs Uribelarrea is played on September 19, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC), in the Torneo Promocional Amateur.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.