Ezeiza vs Buenos Aires City: prediction and stats
Torneo Promocional AmateurRegular Season - 18Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Buenos Aires City the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Ezeiza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ezeiza vs Buenos Aires City?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Ezeiza (1,694) and Buenos Aires City (1,702).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ezeiza have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Buenos Aires City have 6, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Belgrano Zarate(home) | 3-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Uribelarrea(away) | 2-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Alumni Los Hornos(home) | 2-6 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Everton La Plata(home) | 0-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Barrancas UMET(away) | 0-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Control Orientado(away) | 1-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Belgrano Zarate(home) | 0-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Uribelarrea(away) | 3-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Alumni Los Hornos(home) | 4-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Everton La Plata(home) | 2-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Ezeiza win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Buenos Aires City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Buenos Aires City 1-2 Ezeiza | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
Last archived meeting: Buenos Aires City vs Ezeiza on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ezeiza score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Buenos Aires City score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezeiza | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Buenos Aires City | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/14 | 5/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ezeiza sit 11th in Torneo Promocional Amateur (17 points from 13 matches) and Buenos Aires City sit 6th (22 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Buenos Aires City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Buenos Aires City | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 22 |
| 8 | Ezeiza | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Ezeiza | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ezeiza vs Buenos Aires City?
- The Footlab model makes Buenos Aires City the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Ezeiza.
- Where and when is Ezeiza vs Buenos Aires City played?
- Ezeiza vs Buenos Aires City is played on September 19, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC), in the Torneo Promocional Amateur.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.