Las Mandarinas vs Belgrano Zarate: prediction and stats
Torneo Promocional AmateurRegular Season - 18Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Belgrano Zarate the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Las Mandarinas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Mandarinas vs Belgrano Zarate?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Las Mandarinas (1,658) and Belgrano Zarate (1,615).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Las Mandarinas have 4 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Belgrano Zarate have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alumni Los Hornos(home) | 1-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Everton La Plata(away) | 1-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Barrancas UMET(away) | 1-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Buenos Aires City(home) | 0-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Belgrano Zarate(away) | 1-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ezeiza(away) | 1-3 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Barrancas UMET(home) | 0-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Buenos Aires City(away) | 2-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Control Orientado(home) | 0-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Uribelarrea(away) | 1-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Las Mandarinas win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Belgrano Zarate win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Belgrano Zarate 1-1 Las Mandarinas | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
Last archived meeting: Belgrano Zarate vs Las Mandarinas on Jul 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Mandarinas score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 13; Belgrano Zarate score 0.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Mandarinas | 0.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/13 | 5/13 |
| Belgrano Zarate | 0.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Mandarinas sit 13th in Torneo Promocional Amateur (14 points from 13 matches) and Belgrano Zarate sit 9th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Belgrano Zarate | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Belgrano Zarate | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 18 |
| 9 | Las Mandarinas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 | Las Mandarinas | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Mandarinas vs Belgrano Zarate?
- The Footlab model makes Belgrano Zarate the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Las Mandarinas.
- Where and when is Las Mandarinas vs Belgrano Zarate played?
- Las Mandarinas vs Belgrano Zarate is played on September 19, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC), in the Torneo Promocional Amateur.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.