Amagaju vs Etincelles: result 0-1 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on December 15, 2018 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Nyagisenyi Stadium, Gikongoro
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What was the result of Amagaju vs Etincelles?
Etincelles won 0-1 on December 15, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Amagaju have 1 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Etincelles have 1, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2018 | Marines(away) | 0-3 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Kirehe(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 29, 2018 | Musanze(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 7, 2018 | Gicumbi(away) | 3-2 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 2, 2018 | Police(home) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | Police(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Espoir(away) | 1-4 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 1, 2018 | Muhanga(home) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 6, 2018 | APR(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 3, 2018 | AS Kigali(away) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Amagaju score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 8; Etincelles score 0.6 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amagaju | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| Etincelles | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 2/8 | 2/8 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amagaju sit 16th in National Soccer League (35 points from 34 matches) and Etincelles sit 13th (37 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32 | 40 | 37 |
| 16 | Amagaju | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 19 | 38 | 35 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy