Amagaju vs Rayon Sports: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nyagisenyi Stadium, Gikongoro
The Footlab model makes Rayon Sports the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for Amagaju. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amagaju vs Rayon Sports?
Rayon Sports starts as the favourite with a 234-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,609).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amagaju have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Rayon Sports have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Mukura(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 22, 2026 | Muhanga(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 17, 2026 | Al Merreikh(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 10, 2026 | Rutsiro(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 5, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Jamus(away) | 3-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 1-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | KVZ(home) | 2-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Amagaju win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Rayon Sports win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Amagaju 0-2 Rayon Sports | National Soccer League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Rayon Sports 1-0 Amagaju | National Soccer League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Amagaju 1-1 Rayon Sports | National Soccer League |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Rayon Sports 2-2 Amagaju | National Soccer League |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Amagaju 0-1 Rayon Sports | National Soccer League |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Rayon Sports 1-1 Amagaju | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Amagaju vs Rayon Sports on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Amagaju score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rayon Sports score 1.4 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amagaju | 0.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Rayon Sports | 1.4 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amagaju sit 16th in National Soccer League (35 points from 34 matches) and Rayon Sports sit 4th (56 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rayon Sports | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 40 | 30 | 56 |
| 16 | Amagaju | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 19 | 38 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amagaju vs Rayon Sports?
- The Footlab model makes Rayon Sports the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for Amagaju.
- Where and when is Amagaju vs Rayon Sports played?
- Amagaju vs Rayon Sports is played on December 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nyagisenyi Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.