Gorilla vs Marines: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Marines the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Gorilla. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marines wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,398 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gorilla vs Marines?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Gorilla (1,635) and Marines (1,657).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gorilla vs Marines
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gorilla
Not enough data to predict the Gorilla lineup.
Marines
Not enough data to predict the Marines lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gorilla have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Marines have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Rayon Sports(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Etincelles(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 31, 2026 | Al Merreikh(home) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 26, 2026 | Etincelles(home) | 0-4 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | APR(away) | 2-4 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AS Kigali(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Muhanga(home) | 3-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 24, 2026 | Musanze(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gorilla win, 1 draw, 4 Marines wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Gorilla 1-1 Marines | National Soccer League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Marines 1-0 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Marines 2-1 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Gorilla 1-0 Marines | National Soccer League |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Marines 2-1 Gorilla | National Soccer League |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Gorilla 2-3 Marines | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gorilla score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Marines score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gorilla | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Marines | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gorilla sit 4th in National Soccer League (6 points from 3 matches) and Marines sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gorilla | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Marines | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
A question about Gorilla vs Marines?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gorilla vs Marines?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marines the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Gorilla.
- Where and when is Gorilla vs Marines played?
- Gorilla vs Marines is played on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.