Gicumbi vs Etincelles: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gicumbi Stadium, Byumba
The Footlab AI model makes Gicumbi the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Etincelles. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gicumbi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gicumbi vs Etincelles?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Gicumbi (1,540) and Etincelles (1,600).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gicumbi vs Etincelles
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gicumbi
Not enough data to predict the Gicumbi lineup.
Etincelles
Not enough data to predict the Etincelles lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gicumbi have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Etincelles have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Gorilla(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sunrise(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mukura(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | AS Kigali(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | APR(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Marines(home) | 0-4 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bugesera(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Musanze(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Gicumbi wins, 3 draws, 3 Etincelles wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Etincelles 1-1 Gicumbi | National Soccer League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Gicumbi 1-1 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Gicumbi 1-3 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Dec 22, 2021 | Etincelles 2-0 Gicumbi | National Soccer League |
| Dec 20, 2019 | Etincelles 2-2 Gicumbi | National Soccer League |
| May 19, 2019 | Etincelles 1-0 Gicumbi | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Etincelles vs Gicumbi on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gicumbi score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Etincelles score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gicumbi | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Etincelles | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gicumbi sit 1st in National Soccer League (13 points from 7 matches) and Etincelles sit 15th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gicumbi | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 15 | Etincelles | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Gicumbi vs Etincelles?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gicumbi vs Etincelles?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gicumbi the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Etincelles.
- Where and when is Gicumbi vs Etincelles played?
- Gicumbi vs Etincelles is played on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gicumbi Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.