America Mineiro vs Penarol: result 4-1 and analysis
CONMEBOL SudamericanaGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on April 6, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Raimundo Sampaio, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of America Mineiro vs Penarol?
America Mineiro won 4-1 on April 6, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 3′ÉderAmerica Mineiro
- 6′G. MastrianiAmerica Mineiro
- 56′G. MastrianiAmerica Mineiro
- 68′Wellington PaulistaAmerica Mineiro
- 76′B. MansillaPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, America Mineiro have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Penarol have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-3 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-1 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Mar 15, 2023 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Cruzeiro(away) | 2-0 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Tombense(home) | 3-1 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | Club Nacional(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 17, 2023 | CA River Plate(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Atletico Torque(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 8, 2023 | CA River Plate(away) | 4-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
How many goals should we expect?
America Mineiro score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America Mineiro | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Penarol | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy