America Mineiro vs Ponte Preta: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Raimundo Sampaio, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
The Footlab model makes America Mineiro the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Ponte Preta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win America Mineiro vs Ponte Preta?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate America Mineiro (1,735) and Ponte Preta (1,665).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, America Mineiro have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Ponte Preta have 0, 3 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Novorizontino(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Botafogo SP(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Goias(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Avai(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Avai(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Vila Nova(away) | 0-6 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nautico Recife(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ceara(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 America Mineiro win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Ponte Preta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ponte Preta 1-0 America Mineiro | Serie B |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Ponte Preta 0-2 America Mineiro | Serie B |
| Jun 9, 2024 | America Mineiro 2-0 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| Nov 7, 2020 | America Mineiro 1-1 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| Sep 23, 2020 | America Mineiro 3-1 Ponte Preta | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 17, 2020 | Ponte Preta 2-2 America Mineiro | Copa Do Brasil |
Last archived meeting: Ponte Preta vs America Mineiro on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
America Mineiro score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ponte Preta score 0.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America Mineiro | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ponte Preta | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
America Mineiro sit 19th in Serie B (11 points from 23 matches) and Ponte Preta sit 20th (10 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | America Mineiro | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 39 | 11 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 50 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for America Mineiro vs Ponte Preta?
- The Footlab model makes America Mineiro the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Ponte Preta.
- Where and when is America Mineiro vs Ponte Preta played?
- America Mineiro vs Ponte Preta is played on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Raimundo Sampaio, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.