América PE vs Serrano PE: prediction and stats
Pernambucano - 1Semi-finalsKick-off on November 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Ademir Cunha, Paulista, Pernambuco
The Footlab AI model makes América PE the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Serrano PE. The most likely score is 1-1. If América PE wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,183 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win América PE vs Serrano PE?
América PE starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,608 vs 1,448).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for América PE vs Serrano PE
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
América PE
Not enough data to predict the América PE lineup.
Serrano PE
Not enough data to predict the Serrano PE lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 05:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, América PE have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; Serrano PE have 1, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ipojuca(home) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Vera Cruz(home) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Guarany de Sobral(away) | 7-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sete de Setembro(away) | 2-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Íbis(home) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Aguia FC(away) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Jaguaré(home) | 2-2 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Centro Limoeirense(away) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético PE(away) | 0-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Santa Fe PE(home) | 2-3 | Pernambucano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
América PE score 2.6 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Serrano PE score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América PE | 2.6 | 0.5 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Serrano PE | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
América PE sit 1st in Pernambucano - 1 (11 points from 5 matches) and Serrano PE sit 4th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América PE | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
| 4 | Serrano PE | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
A question about América PE vs Serrano PE?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for América PE vs Serrano PE?
- The Footlab AI model makes América PE the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Serrano PE.
- Where and when is América PE vs Serrano PE played?
- América PE vs Serrano PE is played on November 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Ademir Cunha, in the Pernambucano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.