Petrolina vs Cha Grande: prediction and stats
Pernambucano - 1Semi-finalsKick-off on November 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Paulo de Souza Coelho, Petrolina, Pernambuco
The Footlab AI model makes Petrolina the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Cha Grande. The most likely score is 1-1. If Petrolina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,183 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Petrolina vs Cha Grande?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Petrolina (1,430) and Cha Grande (1,412).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Petrolina vs Cha Grande
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Petrolina
4-4-2- TTiaguinho
- IIgor
- KKiko
- JJoão Neto
- AAlvaro Vieira
- JJoão Victor
- IIsaque Gavioli
- MMarcos Vinicius
- AAugusto
- NNildo Petrolina
- AAndré Lucas
Cha Grande
Not enough data to predict the Cha Grande lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 05:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Petrolina have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Cha Grande have 2, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Facilnet(away) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ferroviario do Cabo(home) | 7-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | 1º de Maio(home) | 3-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Salgueiro(away) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Afogados(home) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Porto(away) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Central SC(home) | 2-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Belo Jardim(away) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ypiranga PE(away) | 0-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Pesqueira(home) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Petrolina score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cha Grande score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petrolina | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Cha Grande | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/12 | 6/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Petrolina sit 1st in Pernambucano - 1 (12 points from 4 matches) and Cha Grande sit 4th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Petrolina | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Cha Grande | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
A question about Petrolina vs Cha Grande?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Petrolina vs Cha Grande?
- The Footlab AI model makes Petrolina the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Cha Grande.
- Where and when is Petrolina vs Cha Grande played?
- Petrolina vs Cha Grande is played on November 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Paulo de Souza Coelho, in the Pernambucano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.