Jaguaré vs Ipojuca: prediction and stats
Pernambucano - 1Semi-finalsKick-off on November 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Jefferson de Freitas, Jaboatão dos Guararapes, Pernambuco
The Footlab AI model makes Jaguaré the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Ipojuca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jaguaré wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,183 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jaguaré vs Ipojuca?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Jaguaré (1,464) and Ipojuca (1,430).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jaguaré vs Ipojuca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jaguaré
4-4-2- 18Edson Silva
- 23Léo Mago
- 8Ruan
- 2Medina
- 11Erik
- 17Jailton
- 15Paulo Miranda
- 13Gil Mineiro
- 16Guilherme Ferreira da Silva
- 6Nilson
- 1Igor
Ipojuca
Not enough data to predict the Ipojuca lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 05:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jaguaré have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ipojuca have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Centro Limoeirense(home) | 2-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Serrano PE(away) | 2-2 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Santa Fe PE(home) | 3-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Aguia FC(away) | 3-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Atlético PE(home) | 1-2 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | América PE(away) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Íbis(home) | 0-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sete de Setembro(away) | 2-2 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Vera Cruz(home) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Guarany de Sobral(home) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Jaguaré wins, 1 draw, 0 Ipojuca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2024 | Ipojuca 0-0 Jaguaré | Pernambucano - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Jaguaré score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ipojuca score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguaré | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ipojuca | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jaguaré sit 1st in Pernambucano - 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Ipojuca sit 4th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaguaré | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Ipojuca | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
A question about Jaguaré vs Ipojuca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jaguaré vs Ipojuca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jaguaré the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Ipojuca.
- Where and when is Jaguaré vs Ipojuca played?
- Jaguaré vs Ipojuca is played on November 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Jefferson de Freitas, in the Pernambucano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.