America-RN vs Afogados: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 3, 2020 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena das Dunas, Natal, Rio Grande do Norte
Full time
What was the result of America-RN vs Afogados?
America-RN won 3-1 on October 3, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 48′Wallace PernambucanoAmerica-RN
- 52′RondinellyAmerica-RN
- 83′André Diego KrobelAmerica-RN
- 90′Diego TelesAfogados
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, America-RN have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Afogados have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2020 | Salgueiro(home) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Floresta(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Campinense(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Sep 7, 2020 | ABC(away) | 1-1 | Potiguar |
| Aug 31, 2020 | ABC(away) | 1-2 | Potiguar |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2020 | Globo(home) | 3-2 | Serie D |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Campinense(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Floresta(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 25, 2020 | Ponte Preta(home) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 31, 2020 | Salgueiro(away) | 0-3 | Pernambucano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
America-RN score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Afogados score 1.0 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America-RN | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Afogados | 1.0 | 1.6 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | America-RN | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 21 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy