Match

Ammerthal vs Neudrossenfeld: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 13Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Ammerthal, Ammerthal

AmmerthalNeudrossenfeld

The Footlab model makes Neudrossenfeld the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Ammerthal. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ammerthal vs Neudrossenfeld?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Ammerthal (1,656) and Neudrossenfeld (1,684).

Ammerthal win37 %
Draw25 %
Neudrossenfeld win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ammerthal have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Neudrossenfeld have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ammerthal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gebenbach(home)1-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Stadeln(away)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 14, 2026Fortuna Regensburg(home)1-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Weiden(away)2-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 31, 2026Bayern Hof(home)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Neudrossenfeld
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Nordlingen(home)1-4Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Würzburger FV(away)2-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 14, 2026Viktoria Aschaffenburg(home)3-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 8, 2026Jahn Regensburg II(away)1-2Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 31, 2026Gebenbach(home)0-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Ammerthal win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Neudrossenfeld win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 2, 2024Neudrossenfeld 2-1 AmmerthalOberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 28, 2024Ammerthal 1-1 NeudrossenfeldOberliga - Bayern Nord
Apr 30, 2024Neudrossenfeld 1-1 AmmerthalOberliga - Bayern Nord
Oct 6, 2023Ammerthal 1-1 NeudrossenfeldOberliga - Bayern Nord

Last archived meeting: Neudrossenfeld vs Ammerthal on Nov 2, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Ammerthal score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Neudrossenfeld score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ammerthal1.12.3210/159/15
Neudrossenfeld1.51.7311/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Neudrossenfeld3212614475342

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ammerthal vs Neudrossenfeld?
The Footlab model makes Neudrossenfeld the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Ammerthal.
Where and when is Ammerthal vs Neudrossenfeld played?
Ammerthal vs Neudrossenfeld is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Ammerthal, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ammerthal and Neudrossenfeld

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