Match

Großbardorf vs Cham: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 13Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Westphalen-Stadion, Großbardorf

GroßbardorfCham

The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Großbardorf. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Großbardorf vs Cham?

Cham starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,878 vs 1,677).

Großbardorf win18 %
Draw24 %
Cham win58 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Großbardorf have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Cham have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Großbardorf
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ingolstadt II(home)0-3Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Bayern Hof(away)2-5Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 15, 2026Nordlingen(home)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Kornburg(away)0-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 25, 2026ASV Neumarkt(away)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Cham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Viktoria Aschaffenburg(home)4-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 18, 2026Jahn Regensburg II(away)2-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 14, 2026Gebenbach(home)0-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Aug 7, 2026Stadeln(away)3-0Oberliga - Bayern Nord
Jul 31, 2026Fortuna Regensburg(home)2-1Oberliga - Bayern Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Großbardorf win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cham win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 27, 2023Cham 3-2 GroßbardorfOberliga - Bayern Nord
Oct 29, 2022Großbardorf 2-2 ChamOberliga - Bayern Nord

Last archived meeting: Cham vs Großbardorf on May 27, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Großbardorf score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cham score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Großbardorf1.31.474/157/15
Cham2.10.966/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Cham331887623562

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Großbardorf vs Cham?
The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Großbardorf.
Where and when is Großbardorf vs Cham played?
Großbardorf vs Cham is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Westphalen-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Großbardorf and Cham

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