ASV Neumarkt vs Ingolstadt II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 13Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Stadion am Deininger Weg, Neumarkt in der Oberpfalz
The Footlab model makes Ingolstadt II the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for ASV Neumarkt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASV Neumarkt vs Ingolstadt II?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate ASV Neumarkt (1,706) and Ingolstadt II (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASV Neumarkt have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Ingolstadt II have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stadeln(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Weiden(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kornburg(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Großbardorf(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nordlingen(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 ASV Neumarkt win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Ingolstadt II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Ingolstadt II 6-2 ASV Neumarkt | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 12, 2025 | ASV Neumarkt 2-1 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Mar 22, 2025 | ASV Neumarkt 0-2 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Ingolstadt II 0-2 ASV Neumarkt | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| May 4, 2024 | ASV Neumarkt 2-2 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Ingolstadt II 3-1 ASV Neumarkt | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Ingolstadt II vs ASV Neumarkt on Nov 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
ASV Neumarkt score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ingolstadt II score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASV Neumarkt | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Ingolstadt II | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASV Neumarkt sit 3rd in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (59 points from 32 matches) and Ingolstadt II sit 7th (48 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ASV Neumarkt | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 68 | 50 | 59 |
| 7 | Ingolstadt II | 32 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 64 | 54 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASV Neumarkt vs Ingolstadt II?
- The Footlab model makes Ingolstadt II the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for ASV Neumarkt.
- Where and when is ASV Neumarkt vs Ingolstadt II played?
- ASV Neumarkt vs Ingolstadt II is played on October 3, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion am Deininger Weg, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.