Fortuna Regensburg vs Jahn Regensburg II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 13Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Projekt 29 Arena, Regensburg
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Regensburg the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 30% for Jahn Regensburg II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Regensburg vs Jahn Regensburg II?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Fortuna Regensburg (1,777) and Jahn Regensburg II (1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Regensburg have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Jahn Regensburg II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kornburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ammerthal(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(away) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Cham(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Neudrossenfeld(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ingolstadt II(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Fortuna Regensburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Jahn Regensburg II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II 2-1 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Fortuna Regensburg 3-1 Jahn Regensburg II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Fortuna Regensburg 3-1 Jahn Regensburg II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Jahn Regensburg II 0-1 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Fortuna Regensburg 3-2 Jahn Regensburg II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Jahn Regensburg II 4-1 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Jahn Regensburg II vs Fortuna Regensburg on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Regensburg score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Jahn Regensburg II score 1.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Regensburg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Jahn Regensburg II | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Regensburg sit 8th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (45 points from 32 matches) and Jahn Regensburg II sit 9th (44 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fortuna Regensburg | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 66 | 58 | 45 |
| 9 | Jahn Regensburg II | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 59 | 53 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Regensburg vs Jahn Regensburg II?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Regensburg the favourite at 50%, against 20% for a draw and 30% for Jahn Regensburg II.
- Where and when is Fortuna Regensburg vs Jahn Regensburg II played?
- Fortuna Regensburg vs Jahn Regensburg II is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Projekt 29 Arena, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.