Amurrio Club vs Durango: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Basarte, Amurrio
The Footlab AI model makes Durango the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Amurrio Club. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,316 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amurrio Club vs Durango?
Durango starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,749 vs 1,568).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Amurrio Club vs Durango
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Amurrio Club
Not enough data to predict the Amurrio Club lineup.
Durango
Not enough data to predict the Durango lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 06:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amurrio Club have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Durango have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 0-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Santurtzi(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | San Ignacio(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Eibar III(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | R. Union B(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Pasaia KE(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lagun Onak(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Derio(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Amurrio Club wins, 0 draws, 2 Durango wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | Durango 1-0 Amurrio Club | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Amurrio Club 0-1 Durango | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Durango vs Amurrio Club on Mar 5, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Amurrio Club score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Durango score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amurrio Club | 0.9 | 2.2 | 1 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Durango | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amurrio Club sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (1 point from 10 matches) and Durango sit 5th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Durango | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 17 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 24 | 1 |
A question about Amurrio Club vs Durango?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amurrio Club vs Durango?
- The Footlab AI model makes Durango the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Amurrio Club.
- Where and when is Amurrio Club vs Durango played?
- Amurrio Club vs Durango is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Basarte, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.