R. Union B vs Lagun Onak: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Lagun Onak the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for R. Union B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lagun Onak wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win R. Union B vs Lagun Onak?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate R. Union B (1,689) and Lagun Onak (1,740).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for R. Union B vs Lagun Onak
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
R. Union B
Not enough data to predict the R. Union B lineup.
Lagun Onak
Not enough data to predict the Lagun Onak lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 03:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, R. Union B have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lagun Onak have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Durango(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Santurtzi(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Ignacio(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Touring(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Derio(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Durango(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
R. Union B score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 9; Lagun Onak score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Union B | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 4/9 | 3/9 |
| Lagun Onak | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
R. Union B sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (7 points from 9 matches) and Lagun Onak sit 15th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lagun Onak | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 8 |
| 16 | R. Union B | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 7 |
A question about R. Union B vs Lagun Onak?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for R. Union B vs Lagun Onak?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lagun Onak the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for R. Union B.
- Where and when is R. Union B vs Lagun Onak played?
- R. Union B vs Lagun Onak is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.