Anagennisi Deryneia vs Ethnikos Achna: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gipedo Anagennisi Deryneias, Derynias
The Footlab model makes Anagennisi Deryneia the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Ethnikos Achna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anagennisi Deryneia vs Ethnikos Achna?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Anagennisi Deryneia (1,703) and Ethnikos Achna (1,697).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anagennisi Deryneia have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Ethnikos Achna have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Anorthosis Mouttagiakas(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 22, 2026 | AEN(away) | 4-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kedros Agia Marina(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ethnikos Assias(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ermis(home) | 3-3 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Enosis(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Akritas(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Anagennisi Deryneia win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Ethnikos Achna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | Ethnikos Achna 2-0 Anagennisi Deryneia | 2. Division |
| Feb 1, 2019 | Ethnikos Achna 1-0 Anagennisi Deryneia | 2. Division |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Anagennisi Deryneia 0-2 Ethnikos Achna | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Ethnikos Achna vs Anagennisi Deryneia on Nov 25, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Anagennisi Deryneia score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ethnikos Achna score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anagennisi Deryneia | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Ethnikos Achna | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anagennisi Deryneia vs Ethnikos Achna?
- The Footlab model makes Anagennisi Deryneia the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Ethnikos Achna.
- Where and when is Anagennisi Deryneia vs Ethnikos Achna played?
- Anagennisi Deryneia vs Ethnikos Achna is played on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gipedo Anagennisi Deryneias, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.