APEA vs Ermis: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Koinotiko Gipedo Akrotriou, Limassol
The Footlab AI model makes APEA the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ermis. The most likely score is 1-1. If APEA wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win APEA vs Ermis?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate APEA (1,621) and Ermis (1,630).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for APEA vs Ermis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
APEA
Not enough data to predict the APEA lineup.
Ermis
4-3-1-2- DD. Paroutis
- 9A. Papathanasiou
- AA. Bruce
- AA. Karamoko
- SS. Kafataris
- 77I. Georghiou
- JJ. Boom
- TT. Liasides
- NN. Achahbar
- CC. Charalampous
- AA. Chrysostomou
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 06:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, APEA have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ermis have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spartakos Kitiou(home) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Digenis Morphou(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Doxa(home) | 3-3 | 2. Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ethnikos Latsion(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Iraklis Yerolakkou(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Polemidion(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | PAEEK(home) | 1-2 | 2. Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Akritas(home) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kedros Agia Marina(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 APEA wins, 0 draws, 1 Ermis win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Ermis 0-2 APEA | 3. Division |
| Jan 18, 2025 | APEA 1-3 Ermis | 3. Division |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Ermis 1-2 APEA | 3. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
APEA score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ermis score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APEA | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Ermis | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
APEA sit 7th in 2. Division (5 points from 3 matches) and Ermis sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ermis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | APEA | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
A question about APEA vs Ermis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for APEA vs Ermis?
- The Footlab AI model makes APEA the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ermis.
- Where and when is APEA vs Ermis played?
- APEA vs Ermis is played on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Koinotiko Gipedo Akrotriou, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.