ASIL Lysi vs Doxa: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, Larnaca
The Footlab model makes Doxa the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for ASIL Lysi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASIL Lysi vs Doxa?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate ASIL Lysi (1,525) and Doxa (1,567).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASIL Lysi have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Doxa have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nea Salamis(away) | 1-4 | 2. Division |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Karmiotissa(home) | 2-6 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ayia Napa(away) | 5-5 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ayia Napa(home) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 1-5 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | PAEEK(home) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Nea Salamis(away) | 1-2 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 ASIL Lysi win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Doxa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Doxa 1-0 ASIL Lysi | 2. Division |
| Jan 24, 2026 | ASIL Lysi 2-0 Doxa | 2. Division |
| Nov 22, 2025 | ASIL Lysi 1-2 Doxa | 2. Division |
| Nov 2, 2024 | ASIL Lysi 0-0 Doxa | 2. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
ASIL Lysi score 1.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Doxa score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASIL Lysi | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Doxa | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASIL Lysi sit 7th in 2. Division (31 points from 14 matches) and Doxa sit 5th (42 points from 14 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Doxa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 23 | 42 |
| 7 | ASIL Lysi | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASIL Lysi vs Doxa?
- The Footlab model makes Doxa the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for ASIL Lysi.
- Where and when is ASIL Lysi vs Doxa played?
- ASIL Lysi vs Doxa is played on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.