Ayia Napa vs Digenis Morphou: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Ayia Napa, Agia Napa
The Footlab model makes Ayia Napa the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Digenis Morphou. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ayia Napa vs Digenis Morphou?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Ayia Napa (1,560) and Digenis Morphou (1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayia Napa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Digenis Morphou have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Doxa(away) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | PAEEK(home) | 6-3 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Nea Salamis(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(home) | 5-5 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Karmiotissa(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | AE Zakakiou(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Ethnikos Latsion(away) | 1-2 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Iraklis Yerolakkou(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Spartakos Kitiou(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Halkanoras(home) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Ayia Napa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Digenis Morphou win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Digenis Morphou 1-2 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Digenis Morphou 2-1 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Digenis Morphou 0-1 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Ayia Napa 0-0 Digenis Morphou | 2. Division |
| Oct 23, 2020 | Digenis Morphou 0-2 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Digenis Morphou vs Ayia Napa on Nov 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ayia Napa score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Digenis Morphou score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayia Napa | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Digenis Morphou | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ayia Napa sit 6th in 2. Division (41 points from 14 matches) and Digenis Morphou sit 12th (39 points from 14 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ayia Napa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 28 | 41 |
| 12 | Digenis Morphou | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ayia Napa vs Digenis Morphou?
- The Footlab model makes Ayia Napa the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Digenis Morphou.
- Where and when is Ayia Napa vs Digenis Morphou played?
- Ayia Napa vs Digenis Morphou is played on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Ayia Napa, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.