Anaitasuna vs Alaves: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Campo Txerloia, Azkoitia
The Footlab AI model makes Alaves the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Anaitasuna. The most likely score is 0-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,221 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anaitasuna vs Alaves?
Alaves is a heavy favourite: 2,035 Elo points against 1,660, a 375-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Anaitasuna vs Alaves
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Anaitasuna
4-3-3- AAnder Arabaolaza
- GGorka Crespo
- XXabier Azcoitia
- XXabier Soraluze
- MMikel Pastrian
- UUnai Aranbarri
- AAitor Barbarín
- JJonma
- JJon Izagirre
- MMarkel Eskurtza
- GGorka Masach
Alaves
3-5-2- 15L. Boyé
- 11Toni Martínez
- 7Angel Pérez
- 19Pablo Ibáñez
- 8Antonio Blanco
- 6Guevara
- 21A. Rebbach
- 14N. Tenaglia
- 16V. Koski
- 2N. Valentini
- 1Sivera
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 10:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anaitasuna have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Alaves have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tedeón(away) | 5-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tedeón(home) | 5-0 | Copa del Rey |
| May 11, 2024 | Basconia(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 5, 2024 | Añorga(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 1, 2024 | Deportivo Alavés III(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 1-6 | La Liga |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 1-2 | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Anaitasuna score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alaves score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anaitasuna | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Alaves | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Anaitasuna vs Alaves?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anaitasuna vs Alaves?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alaves the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Anaitasuna.
- Where and when is Anaitasuna vs Alaves played?
- Anaitasuna vs Alaves is played on November 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Txerloia, in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.