Llanera vs Ponferradina: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, Llanera
The Footlab AI model makes Ponferradina the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Llanera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ponferradina wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llanera vs Ponferradina?
On Elo ratings, Llanera has 1,971 points and Ponferradina 1,980.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Llanera vs Ponferradina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Llanera
Not enough data to predict the Llanera lineup.
Ponferradina
4-3-3- 7C. Calderon
- 10Borja Valle
- 11Quicala Bari
- 6Fede San Emeterio
- 8Arturo Molina
- 15O. Vacas
- 3Sergio Nieto
- 4A. Jelbat
- 24Koke
- 2David Andújar
- 1Álex Domínguez
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llanera have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Ponferradina have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Racing Santander II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Zamora(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pontevedra(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Llanera score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ponferradina score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llanera | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Ponferradina | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Llanera vs Ponferradina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llanera vs Ponferradina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ponferradina the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Llanera.
- Where and when is Llanera vs Ponferradina played?
- Llanera vs Ponferradina is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Fútbol Pepe Quimarán, in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.