Sestao River vs Espanyol: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao
The Footlab AI model makes Espanyol the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Sestao River. The most likely score is 1-1. If Espanyol wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sestao River vs Espanyol?
On Elo ratings, Sestao River has 1,983 points and Espanyol 2,036.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sestao River vs Espanyol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sestao River
Not enough data to predict the Sestao River lineup.
Espanyol
4-2-3-1- 9Roberto Fernández
- 28Javier Hernandez
- 8Edu Expósito
- 15Bryan Zaragoza
- 10Pol Lozano
- 24T. Dolan
- 6L. Cabrera
- 23O. El Hilali
- 5C. Riedel
- 21Roger Hinojo
- 1Ángel Fortuño
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sestao River have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Espanyol have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 3-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Terrassa(home) | 4-1 | Copa Federacion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 2-0 | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Sestao River score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Espanyol score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sestao River | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Espanyol | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Sestao River vs Espanyol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sestao River vs Espanyol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Espanyol the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Sestao River.
- Where and when is Sestao River vs Espanyol played?
- Sestao River vs Espanyol is played on October 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Llanas, in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.