Pinatar vs Elche: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Elche the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Pinatar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Elche wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pinatar vs Elche?
Elche starts as the favourite with a 288-point Elo edge (2,063 vs 1,775).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pinatar vs Elche
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pinatar
Not enough data to predict the Pinatar lineup.
Elche
5-3-2- 14Fer Niño
- 21L. Cepeda
- 12Gonzalo Villar
- 8Marc Aguado
- 18T. Lemar
- 11Germán Valera
- 23Víctor Chust
- 3R. Revivo
- 47J. Morcillo
- 2Buba Sangaré
- 1M. Dituro
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 08:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Pinatar have 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Elche have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Melilla(away) | 3-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atlético Melilla(home) | 8-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Villarreal(away) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celta Vigo(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Espanyol(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Pinatar score 5.5 and concede 0.0 goals per match over their last 2; Elche score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinatar | 5.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 0/2 | 2/2 |
| Elche | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
A question about Pinatar vs Elche?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pinatar vs Elche?
- The Footlab AI model makes Elche the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Pinatar.
- Where and when is Pinatar vs Elche played?
- Pinatar vs Elche is played on October 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.