Ancona vs Termoli Calcio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 28Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio del Conero, Ancona
The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Termoli Calcio. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ancona vs Termoli Calcio?
Ancona starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,593).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ancona vs Termoli Calcio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ancona
Not enough data to predict the Ancona lineup.
Termoli Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Termoli Calcio lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ancona have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Termoli Calcio have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Giulianova(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Angelana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fossombrone(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Ancona wins, 0 draws, 2 Termoli Calcio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Ancona 1-0 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Termoli Calcio 2-3 Ancona | Serie D - Girone F |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Ancona 0-1 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Termoli Calcio 4-0 Ancona | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Ancona vs Termoli Calcio on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ancona score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Termoli Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancona | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Termoli Calcio | 0.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ancona sit 4th in Serie D - Girone F (14 points from 7 matches) and Termoli Calcio sit 8th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ancona | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 8 | Termoli Calcio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Ancona vs Termoli Calcio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ancona vs Termoli Calcio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ancona the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Termoli Calcio.
- Where and when is Ancona vs Termoli Calcio played?
- Ancona vs Termoli Calcio is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio del Conero, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 21, 2027MaceratesevsLanciano FC
- Mar 21, 2027TeramovsAtletico Ascoli
- Mar 21, 2027Foligno CalciovsSporting Trestina
- Mar 21, 2027RecanatesevsReal Giulianova
- Mar 21, 2027NotarescovsAngelana
- Mar 21, 2027Montecchio GallovsL'Aquila
- Mar 21, 2027PietralungavsVigor Senigallia
- Mar 21, 2027SantegidiesevsFossombrone