Santegidiese vs Fossombrone: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F · Matchday 28Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Fossombrone the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Santegidiese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fossombrone wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,772 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santegidiese vs Fossombrone?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Santegidiese (1,648) and Fossombrone (1,701).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santegidiese vs Fossombrone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santegidiese
Not enough data to predict the Santegidiese lineup.
Fossombrone
Not enough data to predict the Fossombrone lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Santegidiese have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Fossombrone have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Fossombrone(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Santegidiese wins, 0 draws, 1 Fossombrone win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Fossombrone 4-1 Santegidiese | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Fossombrone vs Santegidiese on Nov 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santegidiese score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 10; Fossombrone score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santegidiese | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 6/10 | 4/10 |
| Fossombrone | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santegidiese sit 17th in Serie D - Girone F (9 points from 11 matches) and Fossombrone sit 6th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fossombrone | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 17 |
| 17 | Santegidiese | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
A question about Santegidiese vs Fossombrone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santegidiese vs Fossombrone?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fossombrone the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Santegidiese.
- Where and when is Santegidiese vs Fossombrone played?
- Santegidiese vs Fossombrone is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.