Foligno Calcio vs Sporting Trestina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 28Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Enzo Blasone, Foligno
The Footlab model makes Foligno Calcio the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Sporting Trestina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Foligno Calcio vs Sporting Trestina?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Foligno Calcio (1,667) and Sporting Trestina (1,648).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Foligno Calcio have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sporting Trestina have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Cannara(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Seravezza(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Prato(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gubbio(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 4-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Prato(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sansepolcro(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Gavorrano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Foligno Calcio win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Sporting Trestina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Foligno Calcio 3-1 Sporting Trestina | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Sporting Trestina 0-1 Foligno Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 8, 2022 | Sporting Trestina 2-0 Foligno Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Dec 22, 2021 | Foligno Calcio 1-3 Sporting Trestina | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 3, 2021 | Sporting Trestina 1-2 Foligno Calcio | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Jan 26, 2020 | Sporting Trestina 2-2 Foligno Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Foligno Calcio vs Sporting Trestina on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Foligno Calcio score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Trestina score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foligno Calcio | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Sporting Trestina | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Foligno Calcio vs Sporting Trestina?
- The Footlab model makes Foligno Calcio the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Sporting Trestina.
- Where and when is Foligno Calcio vs Sporting Trestina played?
- Foligno Calcio vs Sporting Trestina is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Enzo Blasone, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.