Montecchio Gallo vs L'Aquila: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 28Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Montecchio Gallo. The most likely score is 1-1. If L'Aquila wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,876 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montecchio Gallo vs L'Aquila?
L'Aquila starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,813 vs 1,713).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montecchio Gallo vs L'Aquila
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montecchio Gallo
Not enough data to predict the Montecchio Gallo lineup.
L'Aquila
Not enough data to predict the L'Aquila lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Montecchio Gallo have 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; L'Aquila have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Angelana(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Montecchio Gallo score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 7; L'Aquila score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montecchio Gallo | 1.1 | 1.0 | 2 | 4/7 | 3/7 |
| L'Aquila | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montecchio Gallo sit 9th in Serie D - Girone F (11 points from 8 matches) and L'Aquila sit 1st (20 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
| 9 | Montecchio Gallo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
A question about Montecchio Gallo vs L'Aquila?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montecchio Gallo vs L'Aquila?
- The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Montecchio Gallo.
- Where and when is Montecchio Gallo vs L'Aquila played?
- Montecchio Gallo vs L'Aquila is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.