Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Lotto Park, Bruxelles (Brussel)
The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Anderlecht. The most likely score is 1-1. If Union St. Gilloise wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise?
Union St. Gilloise starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (2,284 vs 2,100).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Anderlecht
4-2-3-1- 21T. Bentayeb
- 10M. Winkler
- 18L. Ambros
- 14D. Sikan
- 55M. Kana
- 30I. Koutsoupias
- 27L. Pétrot
- 6L. Augustinsson
- 79A. Maamar
- 50K. Barry
- 26C. Coosemans
Union St. Gilloise
3-1-4-2- 9M. Biondic
- 38R. Mofokeng
- 27L. Patris
- 11Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
- 23B. Zeneli
- 6K. Van de Perre
- 28D. Olaru
- 29M. Sylla
- 55N. Havenaar
- 4N. Chibani
- 12H. Koffi
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anderlecht have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Union St. Gilloise have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(away) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Reims(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 5-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Anderlecht win, 0 draws, 5 Union St. Gilloise wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise 3-0 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 24, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise 5-1 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 14, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise 3-1 Anderlecht | Cup |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Anderlecht 1-3 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Anderlecht 1-0 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Union St. Gilloise 2-0 Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht on Aug 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Anderlecht score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Union St. Gilloise score 2.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Union St. Gilloise | 2.6 | 1.3 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Anderlecht sit 5th in Jupiler Pro League (16 points from 8 matches) and Union St. Gilloise sit 4th (20 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Union St. Gilloise | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 16 |
A question about Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise?
- The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Anderlecht.
- Where and when is Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise played?
- Anderlecht vs Union St. Gilloise is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Lotto Park, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.