Match

OH Leuven vs Charleroi: prediction and stats

Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee

OH LeuvenCharleroi

The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for OH Leuven. The most likely score is 1-1. If Charleroi wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,752 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win OH Leuven vs Charleroi?

Charleroi starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (2,078 vs 1,889).

32%27%41%
OH Leuven winDrawCharleroi win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for OH Leuven vs Charleroi

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

OH Leuven

3-4-3
  1. 18R. Mirisola
  2. 21W. Balikwisha
  3. 24Ł. Łakomy
  1. 27Óscar Gil
  2. 6W. George
  3. 8S. Schrijvers
  4. 99D. Opoku
  1. 3N. Dussenne
  2. 5J. Lawrence
  3. 34R. Nyakossi
  1. 1D. van den Heuvel

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
  1. 21A. Scheidler
  1. 18Y. Khalifi
  2. 6A. Boukamir
  3. 14P. Pflücke
  4. 8J. Romsaas
  5. 20F. Situmona Mbemba
  1. 3K. Van Den Kerkhof
  2. 24M. Nzita
  3. 95C. Keita
  4. 4A. Ousou
  1. 30M. Koné

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:42 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OH Leuven have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Charleroi have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

OH Leuven
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Francs Borains(home)1-0Cup
Oct 11, 2026Union St. Gilloise(away)1-1Jupiler Pro League
Sep 19, 2026RAAL La Louvière(home)2-0Jupiler Pro League
Sep 12, 2026Cercle Brugge(home)1-1Jupiler Pro League
Sep 6, 2026SK Beveren(away)0-3Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Albert Quévy-Mons(away)1-0Cup
Oct 11, 2026Standard Liege(away)1-0Jupiler Pro League
Sep 19, 2026Cercle Brugge(home)3-2Jupiler Pro League
Sep 13, 2026Zulte Waregem(away)1-0Jupiler Pro League
Sep 5, 2026Union St. Gilloise(home)2-3Jupiler Pro League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 OH Leuven win, 2 draws, 3 Charleroi wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 2026Charleroi 3-1 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
May 19, 2026Charleroi 1-1 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
Apr 25, 2026OH Leuven 0-2 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
Mar 14, 2026Charleroi 0-2 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
Jul 27, 2025OH Leuven 2-2 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
May 24, 2025Charleroi 2-1 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League

Last archived meeting: Charleroi vs OH Leuven on Aug 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

OH Leuven score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Charleroi score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
OH Leuven1.32.037/158/15
Charleroi1.81.169/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

OH Leuven sit 15th in Jupiler Pro League (5 points from 8 matches) and Charleroi sit 3rd (21 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Charleroi870116721
15OH Leuven81256145

A question about OH Leuven vs Charleroi?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for OH Leuven vs Charleroi?
The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for OH Leuven.
Where and when is OH Leuven vs Charleroi played?
OH Leuven vs Charleroi is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: OH Leuven and Charleroi

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