OH Leuven vs Charleroi: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee
The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for OH Leuven. The most likely score is 1-1. If Charleroi wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,752 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win OH Leuven vs Charleroi?
Charleroi starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (2,078 vs 1,889).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for OH Leuven vs Charleroi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
OH Leuven
3-4-3- 18R. Mirisola
- 21W. Balikwisha
- 24Ł. Łakomy
- 27Óscar Gil
- 6W. George
- 8S. Schrijvers
- 99D. Opoku
- 3N. Dussenne
- 5J. Lawrence
- 34R. Nyakossi
- 1D. van den Heuvel
Charleroi
4-2-3-1- 21A. Scheidler
- 18Y. Khalifi
- 6A. Boukamir
- 14P. Pflücke
- 8J. Romsaas
- 20F. Situmona Mbemba
- 3K. Van Den Kerkhof
- 24M. Nzita
- 95C. Keita
- 4A. Ousou
- 30M. Koné
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OH Leuven have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Charleroi have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Francs Borains(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Albert Quévy-Mons(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 OH Leuven win, 2 draws, 3 Charleroi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Charleroi 3-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 19, 2026 | Charleroi 1-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | OH Leuven 0-2 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Charleroi 0-2 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 27, 2025 | OH Leuven 2-2 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 24, 2025 | Charleroi 2-1 OH Leuven | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Charleroi vs OH Leuven on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
OH Leuven score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Charleroi score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Charleroi | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
OH Leuven sit 15th in Jupiler Pro League (5 points from 8 matches) and Charleroi sit 3rd (21 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Charleroi | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
A question about OH Leuven vs Charleroi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for OH Leuven vs Charleroi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Charleroi the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for OH Leuven.
- Where and when is OH Leuven vs Charleroi played?
- OH Leuven vs Charleroi is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.