Genk vs Cercle Brugge: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cegeka Arena, Genk
The Footlab AI model makes Genk the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Cercle Brugge. The most likely score is 1-1. If Genk wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Genk vs Cercle Brugge?
Genk starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (2,081 vs 1,903).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Genk vs Cercle Brugge
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Genk
4-3-3- 17R. Durosinmi
- 10J. Ito
- 32Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
- 8B. Heynen
- 4B. Tahirović
- 38D. Heymans
- 20K. Amaro
- 18J. Kayembe
- 44J. Kongolo
- 6M. Smets
- 28L. Kiaba Mounganga
Cercle Brugge
4-2-3-1- 9S. Ngoura
- 42L. Mondele
- 28H. Van der Bruggen
- 18L. Le Roux
- 30B. Akinsola
- 11Charles Herrmann
- 24G. Kondo
- 12V. Konaté
- 15G. Magnée
- 5Emmanuel Kakou
- 1G. Coucke
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Genk have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Cercle Brugge have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gent(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Anderlecht(home) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Gent(home) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Genk wins, 3 draws, 1 Cercle Brugge win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Genk 1-1 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Cercle Brugge 2-2 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Genk 2-1 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Cercle Brugge 2-3 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 4, 2024 | Cercle Brugge 4-1 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Genk 1-1 Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Genk vs Cercle Brugge on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Genk score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cercle Brugge score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Cercle Brugge | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Genk sit 7th in Jupiler Pro League (12 points from 8 matches) and Cercle Brugge sit 18th (3 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Genk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 12 |
| 18 | Cercle Brugge | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 3 |
A question about Genk vs Cercle Brugge?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Genk vs Cercle Brugge?
- The Footlab AI model makes Genk the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Cercle Brugge.
- Where and when is Genk vs Cercle Brugge played?
- Genk vs Cercle Brugge is played on May 8, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cegeka Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.