Andijan vs Qizilqum: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bobur Arena, Andijan
The Footlab model makes Andijan the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Qizilqum. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Andijan vs Qizilqum?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Andijan (1,646) and Qizilqum (1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Andijan have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Qizilqum have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Xorazm(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mash'al(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Neftchi(home) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Sogdiana(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pakhtakor(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sogdiana(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mash'al(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Neftchi(away) | 0-5 | Super League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Nasaf(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Navbahor(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Andijan win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Qizilqum win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Qizilqum 2-1 Andijan | Super League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Qizilqum 2-1 Andijan | Super League |
| Jun 19, 2025 | Andijan 1-1 Qizilqum | Super League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Andijan 0-0 Qizilqum | Super League |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Qizilqum 0-3 Andijan | Cup |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Qizilqum 3-3 Andijan | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Andijan score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Qizilqum score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andijan | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Qizilqum | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Andijan sit 7th in Super League (16 points from 11 matches) and Qizilqum sit 11th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Andijan | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| 7 | Andijan | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 20 | 27 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 13 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 26 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Andijan vs Qizilqum?
- The Footlab model makes Andijan the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Qizilqum.
- Where and when is Andijan vs Qizilqum played?
- Andijan vs Qizilqum is played on October 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bobur Arena, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.