Surkhon vs Xorazm: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Markaziy Stadion, Termiz
The Footlab AI model makes Surkhon the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Xorazm. The most likely score is 1-1. If Surkhon wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Surkhon vs Xorazm?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Surkhon (1,630) and Xorazm (1,557).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Surkhon vs Xorazm
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Surkhon
4-3-3- 11R. Friday
- 19F. Qodirov
- 33U. Kuvandikov
- 21Tornike Dzebniauri
- 8H. Sherbotayev
- 15D. Ramazonov
- 7D. Tursunov
- 6B. Shamsiev
- 66B. Shaydulov
- 26B. Shukurullaev
- 25O. Boymurodov
Xorazm
4-3-3- 15A. Pirmukhamedov
- 9S. Azimov
- 21Rafael Tavares
- 96Rafael Sabino
- 94R. Abdukhamidov
- 13Elzio Lohan Alves Lucio
- 22S. Hamidjonov
- 5A. Otakhonov
- 25M. Rom
- 12M. Shiryaev
- 77U. Ergashev
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Surkhon have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Xorazm have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Qizilqum(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kokand-1912(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Neftchi(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bunyodkor(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | PFK Guliston(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Neftchi(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Qizilqum(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Olmaliq(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sogdiana(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Olmaliq(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Surkhon win, 1 draw, 2 Xorazm wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Xorazm 1-0 Surkhon | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Xorazm 2-2 Surkhon | Super League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Surkhon 0-2 Xorazm | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2024 | Surkhon 3-1 Xorazm | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Surkhon score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Xorazm score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surkhon | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Xorazm | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Surkhon sit 12th in Super League (27 points from 23 matches) and Xorazm sit 15th (22 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | 27 |
| 15 | Xorazm | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 34 | 22 |
A question about Surkhon vs Xorazm?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Surkhon vs Xorazm?
- The Footlab AI model makes Surkhon the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Xorazm.
- Where and when is Surkhon vs Xorazm played?
- Surkhon vs Xorazm is played on October 16, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Markaziy Stadion, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.