Olmaliq vs Qizilqum: prediction and stats
Super LeagueMatchday 28Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Metallurg, Almalyk
The Footlab AI model makes Olmaliq the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Qizilqum. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,076 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olmaliq vs Qizilqum?
Olmaliq starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,757 vs 1,628).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Olmaliq vs Qizilqum
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Olmaliq
4-3-3- 8A. Turdialiev
- 77I. Pešić
- 9A. Kholmurodov
- 5Giorgi Papava
- 10A. Sobirjonov
- 17N. Abdurazzoqov
- 6A. Ulmasaliev
- 44A. Karimov
- 19Ahmadullo Muqimjonov
- 7D. Axmadaliev
- 23Hamidullo Abdunabiev
Qizilqum
4-3-3- 88Otabek Jo‘raqo‘ziev
- 47Ruslan Roziyev
- 10I. Kenzhaboev
- 8S. Rahmatullayev
- 9S. Turopov
- 70Maykon Douglas
- 15N. Kumburović
- 44G. Rizakulov
- 40N. Nematkhonov
- 7F. Jumankuziev
- 1F. Rahmatov
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 02:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olmaliq have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Qizilqum have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Neftchi(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Kokand-1912(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | PFK Guliston(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Mash'al(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Navbahor(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Kokand-1912(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Andijan(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Surkhon(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Olmaliq wins, 1 draw, 1 Qizilqum win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Qizilqum 0-1 Olmaliq | Super League |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Olmaliq 0-0 Qizilqum | Super League |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Qizilqum 1-3 Olmaliq | Super League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Olmaliq 1-0 Qizilqum | Super League |
| Jun 28, 2024 | Qizilqum 1-0 Olmaliq | Super League |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Qizilqum 1-2 Olmaliq | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Olmaliq score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Qizilqum score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olmaliq | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Qizilqum | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olmaliq sit 5th in Super League (45 points from 27 matches) and Qizilqum sit 9th (35 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Olmaliq | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 45 |
| 9 | Qizilqum | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 32 | 35 |
A question about Olmaliq vs Qizilqum?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olmaliq vs Qizilqum?
- The Footlab AI model makes Olmaliq the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Qizilqum.
- Where and when is Olmaliq vs Qizilqum played?
- Olmaliq vs Qizilqum is played on November 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Metallurg, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.