Ankara Demirspor vs İnegölspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)TCDD Ankara Demirspor Stadı, Ankara
The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Ankara Demirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ankara Demirspor vs İnegölspor?
İnegölspor starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,757 vs 1,632).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ankara Demirspor have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; İnegölspor have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Güzide Gebzespor(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Altınordu(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ankaragücü(away) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Elazığspor(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 1-4 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ankara Demirspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 İnegölspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2021 | İnegölspor 0-2 Ankara Demirspor | 2. Lig |
| Jan 14, 2021 | Ankara Demirspor 0-0 İnegölspor | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2019 | İnegölspor 1-1 Ankara Demirspor | 2. Lig |
| Dec 15, 2018 | Ankara Demirspor 1-3 İnegölspor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: İnegölspor vs Ankara Demirspor on Mar 24, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Ankara Demirspor score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; İnegölspor score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara Demirspor | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| İnegölspor | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ankara Demirspor sit 9th in 2. Lig (49 points from 34 matches) and İnegölspor sit 7th (60 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | İnegölspor | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 67 | 44 | 60 |
| 9 | Ankara Demirspor | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ankara Demirspor vs İnegölspor?
- The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Ankara Demirspor.
- Where and when is Ankara Demirspor vs İnegölspor played?
- Ankara Demirspor vs İnegölspor is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at TCDD Ankara Demirspor Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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