Yeni Orduspor vs Ankaragücü: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Ordu Stadyumu, Ordu
The Footlab model makes Yeni Orduspor the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Ankaragücü. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yeni Orduspor vs Ankaragücü?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Yeni Orduspor (1,741) and Ankaragücü (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeni Orduspor have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ankaragücü have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(home) | 4-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(away) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | İskenderunspor(home) | 4-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Erbaaspor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | İnegölspor(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kepezspor(away) | 3-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Yeni Orduspor score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ankaragücü score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeni Orduspor | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Ankaragücü | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ankaragücü | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 63 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yeni Orduspor vs Ankaragücü?
- The Footlab model makes Yeni Orduspor the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Ankaragücü.
- Where and when is Yeni Orduspor vs Ankaragücü played?
- Yeni Orduspor vs Ankaragücü is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Ordu Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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