Sakaryaspor vs Fethiyespor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu, Adapazarı
The Footlab model makes Sakaryaspor the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Fethiyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sakaryaspor vs Fethiyespor?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Sakaryaspor (1,661) and Fethiyespor (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sakaryaspor have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Fethiyespor have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 0-5 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 0-4 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Güzide Gebzespor(away) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(away) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sakaryaspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Fethiyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | Fethiyespor 2-2 Sakaryaspor | 2. Lig |
| Nov 19, 2017 | Sakaryaspor 3-1 Fethiyespor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Fethiyespor vs Sakaryaspor on Apr 7, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Sakaryaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fethiyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sakaryaspor | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Fethiyespor | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Fethiyespor | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 41 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sakaryaspor vs Fethiyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Sakaryaspor the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Fethiyespor.
- Where and when is Sakaryaspor vs Fethiyespor played?
- Sakaryaspor vs Fethiyespor is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026Ankara Demirsporvsİnegölspor
- Dec 20, 2026KırklarelisporvsKütahyaspor
- Dec 20, 202612 BingölsporvsKaracabey Belediyespor
- Dec 20, 202624 Erzincansporvs1461 Trabzon FK
- Dec 20, 2026İskenderunsporvs Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
- Dec 20, 2026Beyoğlu Yeni ÇarşıvsAdana 01 FK
- Dec 20, 2026Yeni OrdusporvsAnkaragücü