Where and when is 24 Erzincanspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK played?

24 Erzincanspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 13 Şubat Şehir Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

24 Erzincanspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)13 Şubat Şehir Stadyumu, Erzincan

24 Erzincanspor

1461 Trabzon FK

The Footlab model makes 24 Erzincanspor the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for 1461 Trabzon FK. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 24 Erzincanspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate 24 Erzincanspor (1,701) and 1461 Trabzon FK (1,655).

24 Erzincanspor win46 %

Draw25 %

1461 Trabzon FK win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 24 Erzincanspor have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; 1461 Trabzon FK have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

24 Erzincanspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Elazığspor(away)	0-2	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Adana 01 FK(home)	3-0	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	İskenderunspor(away)	1-2	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Erbaaspor(home)	3-2	2. Lig
Mar 28, 2026	İnegölspor(away)	0-4	2. Lig

1461 Trabzon FK
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Menemen FK(home)	4-5	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Kırklarelispor(away)	2-1	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Isparta 32 Spor(home)	1-3	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Adanaspor(away)	3-0	2. Lig
Mar 28, 2026	Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)	0-1	2. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 24 Erzincanspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 1461 Trabzon FK win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 1, 2025	24 Erzincanspor 1-4 1461 Trabzon FK	2. Lig
Sep 14, 2024	1461 Trabzon FK 0-2 24 Erzincanspor	2. Lig
May 16, 2021	1461 Trabzon FK 3-0 24 Erzincanspor	2. Lig
May 12, 2021	24 Erzincanspor 2-0 1461 Trabzon FK	2. Lig
Feb 14, 2021	24 Erzincanspor 0-0 1461 Trabzon FK	2. Lig
Oct 10, 2020	1461 Trabzon FK 1-1 24 Erzincanspor	2. Lig

Last archived meeting: 24 Erzincanspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK on Feb 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

24 Erzincanspor score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; 1461 Trabzon FK score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
24 Erzincanspor	1.9	1.2	6	5/15	10/15
1461 Trabzon FK	1.2	1.7	2	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

24 Erzincanspor sit 11th in 2. Lig (51 points from 36 matches) and 1461 Trabzon FK sit 11th (47 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	1461 Trabzon FK	34	13	8	13	54	51	47
11	24 Erzincanspor	36	15	6	15	55	49	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 24 Erzincanspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?: The Footlab model makes 24 Erzincanspor the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for 1461 Trabzon FK.
Where and when is 24 Erzincanspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK played?: 24 Erzincanspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK is played on December 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 13 Şubat Şehir Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.