İnegölspor vs Adana 01 FK: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu, İnegöl
The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Adana 01 FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win İnegölspor vs Adana 01 FK?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate İnegölspor (1,757) and Adana 01 FK (1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İnegölspor have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Adana 01 FK have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Altınordu(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ankaragücü(away) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Elazığspor(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 1-4 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Elazığspor(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Elazığspor(home) | 2-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | İskenderunspor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Erbaaspor(away) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 İnegölspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Adana 01 FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Adana 01 FK 4-1 İnegölspor | 2. Lig |
| Dec 6, 2025 | İnegölspor 0-0 Adana 01 FK | 2. Lig |
| May 3, 2025 | Adana 01 FK 4-2 İnegölspor | 2. Lig |
| Dec 22, 2024 | İnegölspor 1-1 Adana 01 FK | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Adana 01 FK vs İnegölspor on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
İnegölspor score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Adana 01 FK score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İnegölspor | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Adana 01 FK | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
İnegölspor sit 7th in 2. Lig (60 points from 36 matches) and Adana 01 FK sit 4th (67 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Adana 01 FK | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 35 | 67 |
| 7 | İnegölspor | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 67 | 44 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for İnegölspor vs Adana 01 FK?
- The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Adana 01 FK.
- Where and when is İnegölspor vs Adana 01 FK played?
- İnegölspor vs Adana 01 FK is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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