Match

Ankaragücü vs 1461 Trabzon FK: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Eryaman Stadyumu, Ankara

Ankaragücü1461 Trabzon FK

The Footlab model makes Ankaragücü the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for 1461 Trabzon FK. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ankaragücü vs 1461 Trabzon FK?

Ankaragücü starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,655).

Ankaragücü win52 %
Draw25 %
1461 Trabzon FK win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ankaragücü have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; 1461 Trabzon FK have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ankaragücü
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026İskenderunspor(home)4-12. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Erbaaspor(away)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026İnegölspor(home)1-22. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Kepezspor(away)3-22. Lig
Apr 3, 2026Bucaspor 1928(home)1-02. Lig
1461 Trabzon FK
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Menemen FK(home)4-52. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Kırklarelispor(away)2-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Isparta 32 Spor(home)1-32. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Adanaspor(away)3-02. Lig
Mar 28, 2026Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)0-12. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Ankaragücü score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; 1461 Trabzon FK score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ankaragücü1.71.1410/157/15
1461 Trabzon FK1.21.729/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ankaragücü sit 6th in 2. Lig (63 points from 36 matches) and 1461 Trabzon FK sit 11th (47 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Ankaragücü361899524163
111461 Trabzon FK3413813545147

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ankaragücü vs 1461 Trabzon FK?
The Footlab model makes Ankaragücü the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for 1461 Trabzon FK.
Where and when is Ankaragücü vs 1461 Trabzon FK played?
Ankaragücü vs 1461 Trabzon FK is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Eryaman Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ankaragücü and 1461 Trabzon FK

Ready to know everything about football?