Match

Ankaragücü vs Sakaryaspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Eryaman Stadyumu, Ankara

AnkaragücüSakaryaspor

The Footlab model makes Ankaragücü the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Sakaryaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ankaragücü vs Sakaryaspor?

Ankaragücü starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,661).

Ankaragücü win56 %
Draw23 %
Sakaryaspor win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ankaragücü have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Sakaryaspor have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ankaragücü
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026İskenderunspor(home)4-12. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Erbaaspor(away)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026İnegölspor(home)1-22. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Kepezspor(away)3-22. Lig
Apr 3, 2026Bucaspor 1928(home)1-02. Lig
Sakaryaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 1, 2026Manisa F.K.(away)0-51. Lig
Apr 26, 2026Çorum FK(home)0-41. Lig
Apr 18, 2026Hatayspor(away)1-11. Lig
Apr 13, 2026Esenler Erokspor(home)1-21. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Ümraniyespor(away)0-21. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ankaragücü win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sakaryaspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 17, 2025Sakaryaspor 2-2 Ankaragücü1. Lig
Sep 21, 2024Ankaragücü 2-1 Sakaryaspor1. Lig

Last archived meeting: Sakaryaspor vs Ankaragücü on Feb 17, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ankaragücü score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sakaryaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ankaragücü1.71.1410/157/15
Sakaryaspor0.91.927/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Ankaragücü361899524163

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ankaragücü vs Sakaryaspor?
The Footlab model makes Ankaragücü the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Sakaryaspor.
Where and when is Ankaragücü vs Sakaryaspor played?
Ankaragücü vs Sakaryaspor is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Eryaman Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ankaragücü and Sakaryaspor

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