Match

İnegölspor vs Yeni Orduspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu, İnegöl

İnegölsporYeni Orduspor

The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Yeni Orduspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win İnegölspor vs Yeni Orduspor?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate İnegölspor (1,757) and Yeni Orduspor (1,741).

İnegölspor win42 %
Draw25 %
Yeni Orduspor win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İnegölspor have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Yeni Orduspor have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

İnegölspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Altınordu(away)2-22. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Ankaragücü(away)2-12. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Elazığspor(home)2-22. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Adana 01 FK(away)1-42. Lig
Yeni Orduspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Ayvalikgucu(away)2-13. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home)1-03. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away)1-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 28, 2026Fatsa Belediyespor(home)4-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026Fatsa Belediyespor(away)3-13. Lig - Play-offs

How many goals should we expect?

İnegölspor score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Yeni Orduspor score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
İnegölspor1.61.359/1510/15
Yeni Orduspor1.91.057/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7İnegölspor3616128674460

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for İnegölspor vs Yeni Orduspor?
The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Yeni Orduspor.
Where and when is İnegölspor vs Yeni Orduspor played?
İnegölspor vs Yeni Orduspor is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at İnegöl İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: İnegölspor and Yeni Orduspor

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