Annan Athletic vs Berwick Rangers: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Galabank, Annan
The Footlab model makes Annan Athletic the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Berwick Rangers. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Annan Athletic vs Berwick Rangers?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Annan Athletic (1,488) and Berwick Rangers (1,460).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Annan Athletic have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Berwick Rangers have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Edinburgh City(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Clyde(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(away) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stranraer(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartans(home) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stirling University(home) | 3-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hearts U21(home) | 3-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brechin(away) | 3-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Annan Athletic win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Berwick Rangers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | Annan Athletic 6-0 Berwick Rangers | League Two |
| Feb 26, 2019 | Berwick Rangers 1-2 Annan Athletic | League Two |
| Dec 22, 2018 | Annan Athletic 4-0 Berwick Rangers | League Two |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Berwick Rangers 0-3 Annan Athletic | League Two |
| Jul 17, 2018 | Annan Athletic 4-0 Berwick Rangers | League Cup |
| Mar 31, 2018 | Annan Athletic 0-0 Berwick Rangers | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Annan Athletic vs Berwick Rangers on Apr 6, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Annan Athletic score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Berwick Rangers score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annan Athletic | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Berwick Rangers | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Annan Athletic vs Berwick Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes Annan Athletic the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Berwick Rangers.
- Where and when is Annan Athletic vs Berwick Rangers played?
- Annan Athletic vs Berwick Rangers is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Galabank, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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