Match

Annan Athletic vs Berwick Rangers: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Galabank, Annan

Annan AthleticBerwick Rangers

The Footlab model makes Annan Athletic the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Berwick Rangers. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Annan Athletic vs Berwick Rangers?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Annan Athletic (1,488) and Berwick Rangers (1,460).

Annan Athletic win54 %
Draw21 %
Berwick Rangers win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Annan Athletic have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Berwick Rangers have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Annan Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Edinburgh City(away)0-1League Two
Aug 15, 2026Clyde(home)1-2League Two
Aug 11, 2026Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(away)0-1Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Stranraer(away)1-0League Two
Aug 1, 2026Spartans(home)2-4League Two
Berwick Rangers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(home)0-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 15, 2026Stirling University(home)3-2Football League - Lowland League
Aug 11, 2026Hearts U21(home)3-4Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Brechin(away)3-4Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Hill Of Beath Hawthorn(home)0-2Football League - Lowland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Annan Athletic win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Berwick Rangers win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2019Annan Athletic 6-0 Berwick RangersLeague Two
Feb 26, 2019Berwick Rangers 1-2 Annan AthleticLeague Two
Dec 22, 2018Annan Athletic 4-0 Berwick RangersLeague Two
Aug 25, 2018Berwick Rangers 0-3 Annan AthleticLeague Two
Jul 17, 2018Annan Athletic 4-0 Berwick RangersLeague Cup
Mar 31, 2018Annan Athletic 0-0 Berwick RangersLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Annan Athletic vs Berwick Rangers on Apr 6, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Annan Athletic score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Berwick Rangers score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Annan Athletic1.22.329/1510/15
Berwick Rangers1.91.748/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Annan Athletic vs Berwick Rangers?
The Footlab model makes Annan Athletic the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Berwick Rangers.
Where and when is Annan Athletic vs Berwick Rangers played?
Annan Athletic vs Berwick Rangers is played on August 25, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Galabank, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Annan Athletic and Berwick Rangers

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