Ansan Greeners vs Hwaseong: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 26Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ansan Wa Stadium, Ansan
The Footlab model makes Hwaseong the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Ansan Greeners. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ansan Greeners vs Hwaseong?
Hwaseong starts as the favourite with a 238-point Elo edge (1,679 vs 1,441).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ansan Greeners have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Hwaseong have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 1-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(away) | 1-3 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Asan Mugunghwa(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gimhae City(home) | 2-2 | K League 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Paju Citizen(away) | 1-0 | K League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jeonnam Dragons(away) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Busan I Park(away) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Daegu FC(home) | 5-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 3-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ansan Greeners win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Hwaseong win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Hwaseong 2-0 Ansan Greeners | K League 2 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Ansan Greeners 0-1 Hwaseong | K League 2 |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Hwaseong 0-0 Ansan Greeners | K League 2 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Ansan Greeners 3-3 Hwaseong | K League 2 |
| Mar 29, 2023 | Hwaseong 2-3 Ansan Greeners | FA Cup |
| Mar 27, 2019 | Hwaseong 3-2 Ansan Greeners | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Hwaseong vs Ansan Greeners on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ansan Greeners score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hwaseong score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansan Greeners | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hwaseong | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ansan Greeners sit 15th in K League 2 (19 points from 22 matches) and Hwaseong sit 6th (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hwaseong | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 23 | 36 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 42 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ansan Greeners vs Hwaseong?
- The Footlab model makes Hwaseong the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Ansan Greeners.
- Where and when is Ansan Greeners vs Hwaseong played?
- Ansan Greeners vs Hwaseong is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ansan Wa Stadium, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.