Busan I Park vs Gimhae City: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 26Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Busan Asiad Main Stadium, Busan
The Footlab model makes Busan I Park the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Gimhae City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Busan I Park vs Gimhae City?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Busan I Park (1,672) and Gimhae City (1,608).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Busan I Park have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gimhae City have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Daegu FC(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hwaseong(home) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Yongin City(away) | 0-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(home) | 1-2 | K League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Suwon City FC(away) | 0-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gyeongnam FC(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Suwon Bluewings(away) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ansan Greeners(away) | 2-2 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Busan I Park win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Gimhae City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Gimhae City 0-1 Busan I Park | K League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gimhae City vs Busan I Park on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Busan I Park score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gimhae City score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busan I Park | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Gimhae City | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Busan I Park sit 5th in K League 2 (38 points from 22 matches) and Gimhae City sit 17th (12 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Busan I Park | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 30 | 38 |
| 17 | Gimhae City | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 40 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Busan I Park vs Gimhae City?
- The Footlab model makes Busan I Park the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Gimhae City.
- Where and when is Busan I Park vs Gimhae City played?
- Busan I Park vs Gimhae City is played on September 13, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Busan Asiad Main Stadium, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.